How long will bama rising last

Metric: Declining New Cases Our main indicator for limiting the risk of COVID spread in the community is the number of days a county has a downward trend of new cases each day. In determining the trajectory of cases, there is a five-day grace period, meaning that each county can have up to five days with an increase in new cases in a day window before they are considered to not be in a downward trajectory.

The purpose of the five-day grace period is to account for minor fluctuations that do not truly change the downward trend in cases. Metrics: Percent Positive Declining and Testing Goals Met Confidence in trends is dependent upon testing volume within the county, the second measure. The testing goal is met when at least 0. The timeline of two weeks is designed to ensure that counties provide testing opportunities for their citizens regularly, with the consideration that some weeks may not be conducive to high test rates i.

A value of yes means the county passed the metric, while a value of no means they did not pass. If a county meets the measure of at least 0. If fewer than 0. If a county fails the percent positive measure but passes the measure to test 0.

If a county fails both measures, it will still only move up one level. If a county passes both measures, it will remain at the same level. Metric: Visits for Covid-Like Symptoms Declining The third factor to be considered at this time is trends in the percent of visits that are people presenting with COVID-like symptoms in emergency rooms or urgent care clinics. This measure is designed to detect residents of the county with COVID who may not be tested for various reasons. If a county has a decreasing number of people presenting in with COVID-like symptoms, or if the number of people presenting with COVID-like symptoms remains stable or is fewer than 10 over a day period , the county will remain at the same level.

If the number of people presenting with COVID-like symptoms in urgent healthcare settings is significantly increasing, then the county moves up a level. This is public health No different than if you went to your doctor with chest pain. We know what to do for that.

We do an EKG. We run some blood tests. This is going to your doctor, except the doctor is a public health official who knows a lot about how epidemics emerge. There may be politics in the negative messaging, perhaps. End of discussion. Are there any legitimate medical reasons why a person should not get vaccinated? There are two. If someone has had an allergic reaction to one of the components of the vaccine, that might be viewed as a medical indication. The good news with these vaccines, especially Pfizer and Moderna, is there are very few components.

Everything else is just a lipid membrane and a piece of messenger RNA. But this is obviously not the case. With the original viral strain, the breakthrough cases were running around 5 percent in the studies, but in practice it was only running about percent. So these breakthrough symptomatic cases were very uncommon. But the very good news is that even if someone is vaccinated and they develop symptoms from a new breakthrough COVID infection, the symptoms are typically mild and of short duration.

So the vaccine is working incredible well, better than anyone ever imagined or hoped when it was being developed. Why are people who are fully vaccinated being hospitalized with serious illness? That seems like a very high number? It depends on the country. In Israel, they had a similar report. But remember, in Israel, percent of the population has been vaccinated. So as a percentage of people getting admitted, the odds are pretty high that somebody had been vaccinated.

Their overall numbers are remarkably low, the actual number of cases. Whereas in the United States, where only about a third of the people in Alabama and less than half the people in the U. People remain eager to return to what the consider normal life in Alabama.

Plans remain for football stadiums to reach full capacity this fall. People are eating in restaurants again. Masks are disappearing. Rushing back into things was already a major concern more than a year ago, but as cases and hospitalizations rise, it appears history is repeating itself, even with more people vaccinated than they were a year ago. Are we making the same mistakes we did when it was at its peak? Yeah, unfortunately I really do. A lot of the decision-making for this fall, especially with regard to football stadiums and getting back to life as a semblance of normal, was based on the assumption that the vast majority of citizens would be vaccinated.

This is just common sense and logic. You can go to the football game. You can go to restaurants, within reason, etc. And the odds are pretty high with the numbers rising right now that out of 25 people, at least one would be infected at that moment in time. Totally preventable. What is most concerning to you right now? I think the reporting has been accurate. What we have is a perfect storm of a very contagious virus in the Delta strain, a lot of susceptible people who have not been vaccinated and an attempted return to normal when things are not normal.

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